Pleaser bets in the NFL

Disclaimer

The analysis on this page is based on the 4450 NFL games between the 1994 to 2012 seasons. I started with 1994 because that was the year the two-point conversion rule was introduced. Besides sample size variation, I also had to make assumptions about how point spreads were created on pleaser cards. The reader should assume there is some margin of error on any statistic on the probability of winning and expected return anywhere on this page. At the end of the day, sports are ultimately played by human beings, not statistics, so always take any predictions of future results, based on past results, with a grain of salt.

Introduction

For those who know what a teaser bet is, a pleaser (also known as a reverse teaser) works the same way, except the bettor gets negative points. Obviously, that means a lower probability of winning each leg, so the bettor is compensated with a higher pay table.

For those who don't know what a teaser is, with a parlay, teaser, or pleaser bet, the bettor makes at least two selections against a list of games. The player must win every selection to win the bet. The more selections made, the lower the probability of winning, but the higher the win if every selection does win. Rules vary on what happens in the event of a tie. With a parlay the bettor goes against a point spread with no extra points. With a teaser the bettor gets extra points, but stands to win less. With a pleaser, the bettor gives up points but stands to win more.

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Upcoming matches	Game	Money Line	Spread	Total
Thu Sep 5th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - baltimore-ravens	Refer a friend Bonus $50 3.4 Claim T&C’s Apply. 21+. Invited Friend must play through their $50 Sign-Up Bonus once within 30 days. After the Invited Friend completes the 1x wagering requirement, Invitee will receive the $50 Referral Bonus. -145	-105 (-3)	-107 (46.5)
Fri Sep 6th 7pm	Philadelphia Eagles - green-bay-packers	-115	100 (-1.5)	-107 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Chicago Bears - tennessee-titans	Sign Up Bonus 125% up to $2500 3.3 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry. -195	103 (-4)	Refer a friend Bonus $50 3.4 Claim T&C’s Apply. 21+. Invited Friend must play through their $50 Sign-Up Bonus once within 30 days. After the Invited Friend completes the 1x wagering requirement, Invitee will receive the $50 Referral Bonus. -105 (43.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - washington-commanders	-185	-105 (-4)	-105 (41.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - arizona-cardinals	Sign Up Bonus 50% up to $1000 3.2 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit $55. -310	-105 (-7)	-105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - pittsburgh-steelers	-148	105 (-3)	-107 (43)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - carolina-panthers	-205	-105 (-5)	-105 (40.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - new-england-patriots	-400	-105 (-9)	-105 (43.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - houston-texans	110	-105 (2.5)	-105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - jacksonville-jaguars	Sign Up Bonus 125% up to $2500 3.3 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry. -175	-105 (-3.5)	-102 (49)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	New York Giants - minnesota-vikings	-112	-105 (-1)	-107 (41.5)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - las-vegas-raiders	-170	-102 (-3.5)	-107 (43.5)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Cleveland Browns - dallas-cowboys	Sign Up Bonus 125% up to $2500 3.3 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry. 105	100 (1)	-107 (44)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - denver-broncos	-205	-105 (-5)	-105 (42.5)
Sun Sep 8th 7pm	Detroit Lions - los-angeles-rams	Refer a friend Bonus $50 3.4 Claim T&C’s Apply. 21+. Invited Friend must play through their $50 Sign-Up Bonus once within 30 days. After the Invited Friend completes the 1x wagering requirement, Invitee will receive the $50 Referral Bonus. -165	-106 (-3.5)	-107 (51)
Sun Sep 8th 8pm	Miami Dolphins - buffalo-bills		-110 (-1.5)	-110 (51.5)
Mon Sep 9th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-york-jets	Sign Up Bonus 50% up to $1000 3.2 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit $55. -225	-105 (-5)	-107 (45)
Mon Sep 9th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-york-jets	-230	-105 (-6)	-105 (45.5)
Thu Sep 12th 8pm	Miami Dolphins - buffalo-bills	-108	-110 (-1)	-105 (51.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - las-vegas-raiders	-340	-109 (-8)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - los-angeles-chargers	185	-110 (5)	-110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - cleveland-browns	-110	-105 (-1)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Dallas Cowboys - new-orleans-saints	-250	-109 (-6)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Detroit Lions - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-250	-110 (-6)	-109 (49)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - indianapolis-colts	-192	-108 (-4)	-108 (47)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - san-francisco-49ers	235	-109 (6.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	New England Patriots - seattle-seahawks	130	100 (2.5)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Washington Commanders - new-york-giants	-135	100 (-3)	-107 (43)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - new-york-jets	154	-109 (3.5)	-109 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-rams	118	-107 (2.5)	-108 (48.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Kansas City Chiefs - cincinnati-bengals	-192	-101 (-3.5)	-105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Denver Broncos - pittsburgh-steelers	130	-108 (3)	-110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 15th 8pm	Houston Texans - chicago-bears	-170	-109 (-4)	-109 (46.5)
Mon Sep 16th 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - atlanta-falcons	-166	-105 (-3.5)	-110 (48.5)
Thu Sep 19th 8pm	New York Jets - new-england-patriots	-320	-110 (-7.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - chicago-bears	-130	-110 (-2)	-108 (47)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Cleveland Browns - new-york-giants	-240	-108 (-6.5)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - denver-broncos	-160	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Tennessee Titans - green-bay-packers	175	-110 (3.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - houston-texans	180	100 (3.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - los-angeles-chargers	-125	-110 (-2)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	New Orleans Saints - philadelphia-eagles	143	-110 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - carolina-panthers	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (43)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - miami-dolphins	122	-110 (2)	-110 (49)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - detroit-lions	160	-110 (4)	-108 (50)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - baltimore-ravens	-112	-105 (-1)	-110 (48)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - san-francisco-49ers	192	100 (2.5)	-108 (49)
Sun Sep 22nd 8pm	Atlanta Falcons - kansas-city-chiefs	158	-110 (3)	-110 (49)
Mon Sep 23rd 7pm	Buffalo Bills - jacksonville-jaguars	-190	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (49)
Mon Sep 23rd 8pm	Cincinnati Bengals - washington-commanders	-278	-115 (-7)	-110 (48)
Thu Sep 26th 8pm	New York Giants - dallas-cowboys	210	-110 (4)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - new-orleans-saints	-185	-110 (-4)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - cincinnati-bengals	196	100 (5)	-108 (46)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Chicago Bears - los-angeles-rams	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	New York Jets - denver-broncos	-240	-110 (-6)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - minnesota-vikings	-218	-110 (-5)	-108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Houston Texans - jacksonville-jaguars	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - pittsburgh-steelers	-110	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - philadelphia-eagles	158	-110 (2)	-110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - washington-commanders	-135	-112 (-2.5)	-108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-england-patriots	-600	-110 (-11.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - cleveland-browns	120	-110 (2.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - kansas-city-chiefs	152	100 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 8pm	Baltimore Ravens - buffalo-bills	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Mon Sep 30th 7pm	Miami Dolphins - tennessee-titans	-270	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (46)
Mon Sep 30th 8pm	Detroit Lions - seattle-seahawks	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (49)
Thu Oct 3rd 8pm	Atlanta Falcons - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-160	-115 (-3)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 6th 8am	Minnesota Vikings - new-york-jets	175	-112 (4)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - baltimore-ravens	-120	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Houston Texans - buffalo-bills	-125	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (48)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Chicago Bears - carolina-panthers	-218	-108 (-5.5)	-108 (42)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Washington Commanders - cleveland-browns	158	-105 (3)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - indianapolis-colts	-142	-110 (-2.5)	-108 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	New England Patriots - miami-dolphins	205	-110 (4.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - arizona-cardinals	-425	-110 (-9.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Denver Broncos - las-vegas-raiders	-112	-105 (-1)	-110 (41)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - green-bay-packers	-130	-112 (-1.5)	-108 (48.5)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - new-york-giants	-160	-110 (-3.5)	-108 (43)
Sun Oct 6th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - dallas-cowboys	122	-108 (1.5)	-110 (43)
Mon Oct 7th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - new-orleans-saints	-355	-110 (-8)	-110 (44.5)
Thu Oct 10th 8pm	Seattle Seahawks - san-francisco-49ers	196	-110 (5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 8am	Chicago Bears - jacksonville-jaguars	-106	-115 (1)	-105 (45.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - arizona-cardinals	-210	-110 (-5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - washington-commanders	-355	-110 (-8)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - cleveland-browns	-148	-108 (-3)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	New England Patriots - houston-texans	175	-110 (4.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - indianapolis-colts	105	-108 (1.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Denver Broncos - los-angeles-chargers	122	-110 (2)	-110 (43)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - pittsburgh-steelers	-105	-112 (1)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - detroit-lions	-110	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Carolina Panthers - atlanta-falcons	154	-108 (3.5)	-108 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 8pm	New York Giants - cincinnati-bengals	196	-110 (4.5)	-108 (45)
Mon Oct 14th 8pm	New York Jets - buffalo-bills	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (47.5)
Thu Oct 17th 8pm	New Orleans Saints - denver-broncos	-180	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 8am	Jacksonville Jaguars - new-england-patriots	-260	Sign Up Bonus 50% up to $1000 3.7 Claim New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50. -114 (-6.5)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - seattle-seahawks	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - tennessee-titans	-340	-120 (-7)	-112 (47.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - cincinnati-bengals	-108	-115 (1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - detroit-lions	158	100 (3)	-108 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - houston-texans	-130	-108 (-2.5)	-110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - miami-dolphins	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (49)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	New York Giants - philadelphia-eagles	196	-110 (4)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 20th 3pm	San Francisco 49ers - kansas-city-chiefs	-124	-110 (-2)	-110 (49)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - las-vegas-raiders	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (46)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm	Washington Commanders - carolina-panthers	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 20th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-jets	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (43)
Mon Oct 21st 8pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - baltimore-ravens	185	-108 (5)	-110 (46)
Mon Oct 21st 9pm	Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-chargers	-118	-110 (-1)	-110 (45)
Thu Oct 24th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - minnesota-vikings	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - baltimore-ravens	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Detroit Lions - tennessee-titans	-310	-110 (-7)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - arizona-cardinals	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - atlanta-falcons	-115	-112 (-1)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Washington Commanders - chicago-bears	110	-108 (2)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - green-bay-packers	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (46)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Houston Texans - indianapolis-colts	-198	-110 (-4)	-108 (48)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	New England Patriots - new-york-jets	180	-110 (4.5)	-110 (41.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - buffalo-bills	124	-115 (3)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - new-orleans-saints	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Denver Broncos - carolina-panthers	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Cincinnati Bengals - philadelphia-eagles	-155	-108 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - kansas-city-chiefs	205	-110 (5)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 27th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - dallas-cowboys	-210	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (46)
Mon Oct 28th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-giants	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (42.5)
Thu Oct 31st 8pm	New York Jets - houston-texans	-142	100 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - dallas-cowboys	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (48)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - denver-broncos	-500	-110 (-10.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Buffalo Bills - miami-dolphins	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (51)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Carolina Panthers - new-orleans-saints	100	-108 (1)	-110 (40.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - las-vegas-raiders	-310	-112 (-7)	-108 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Cleveland Browns - los-angeles-chargers	-170	-120 (-3)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - indianapolis-colts	-110	-105 (-1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Tennessee Titans - new-england-patriots	-142	-120 (-2.5)	-110 (41)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	New York Giants - washington-commanders	-125	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - chicago-bears	-108	-115 (1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Green Bay Packers - detroit-lions	-125	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (49)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - los-angeles-rams	105	-110 (1.5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - jacksonville-jaguars	-185	-105 (-3.5)	-108 (47)
Mon Nov 4th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-355	-120 (-7)	-110 (47)
Thu Nov 7th 8pm	Baltimore Ravens - cincinnati-bengals	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 10th 7am	Carolina Panthers - new-york-giants	112	-110 (1)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - atlanta-falcons	105	-108 (1.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - buffalo-bills	122	-110 (2)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Chicago Bears - new-england-patriots	-225	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Kansas City Chiefs - denver-broncos	-410	-110 (-9)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - minnesota-vikings	-162	-115 (-3)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Washington Commanders - pittsburgh-steelers	102	-110 (1.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - san-francisco-49ers	205	-108 (4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - tennessee-titans	-180	-110 (-4)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - new-york-jets	130	-110 (3)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - philadelphia-eagles	-125	-110 (-2)	-110 (48)
Sun Nov 10th 8pm	Houston Texans - detroit-lions	-115	-108 (-1)	-110 (48.5)
Mon Nov 11th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - miami-dolphins	-115	-110 (-1)	-110 (47.5)
Thu Nov 14th 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - washington-commanders	-278	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - baltimore-ravens	130	-115 (3)	-110 (43)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Chicago Bears - green-bay-packers	-108	-102 (-1)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - cleveland-browns	122	-110 (2)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Detroit Lions - jacksonville-jaguars	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (50)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - las-vegas-raiders	-250	-110 (-6)	-110 (47)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	New England Patriots - los-angeles-rams	180	-110 (4)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - minnesota-vikings	-105	-112 (1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Denver Broncos - atlanta-falcons	142	100 (3)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - seattle-seahawks	-355	-110 (-9)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Buffalo Bills - kansas-city-chiefs	100	-102 (-1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - cincinnati-bengals	110	-108 (2)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 17th 8pm	New York Jets - indianapolis-colts	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (46)
Mon Nov 18th 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - houston-texans	-155	-110 (-3)	-108 (49)
Thu Nov 21st 8pm	Cleveland Browns - pittsburgh-steelers	-142	100 (-3)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - kansas-city-chiefs	278	100 (7)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Chicago Bears - minnesota-vikings	-166	-120 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Washington Commanders - dallas-cowboys	158	-105 (3)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - detroit-lions	114	-108 (2.5)	-108 (47.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Houston Texans - tennessee-titans	-250	-110 (-6)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - new-england-patriots	-355	-120 (-7)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	New York Giants - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-105	-110 (1)	-112 (44)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - denver-broncos	-125	-110 (-3)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks	135	-110 (3)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Green Bay Packers - san-francisco-49ers	122	-110 (2.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Nov 24th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - philadelphia-eagles	-112	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (47)
Mon Nov 25th 8pm	Los Angeles Chargers - baltimore-ravens	135	-108 (2.5)	-110 (47)
Thu Nov 28th 12pm	Detroit Lions - chicago-bears	-192	-108 (-4)	-108 (50)
Thu Nov 28th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - new-york-giants	-375	-110 (-8)	-110 (45.5)
Thu Nov 28th 8pm	Green Bay Packers - miami-dolphins	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (48.5)
Fri Nov 29th 3pm	Kansas City Chiefs - las-vegas-raiders	-340	-120 (-7)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - arizona-cardinals	-120	-108 (-1.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - los-angeles-chargers	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - pittsburgh-steelers	-218	-110 (-5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - houston-texans	-112	-105 (-1)	-110 (47)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	New England Patriots - indianapolis-colts	175	100 (2)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	New York Jets - seattle-seahawks	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Washington Commanders - tennessee-titans	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	Carolina Panthers - tampa-bay-buccaneers	105	-110 (2)	-108 (43)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	New Orleans Saints - los-angeles-rams	105	-110 (1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	Baltimore Ravens - philadelphia-eagles	-190	-110 (-4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 8pm	Buffalo Bills - san-francisco-49ers	105	-110 (2)	-110 (47)
Mon Dec 2nd 7pm	Denver Broncos - cleveland-browns	150	-110 (3.5)	-110 (43)
Thu Dec 5th 8pm	Detroit Lions - green-bay-packers	-155	-120 (-3)	-110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - atlanta-falcons	-102	-108 (1)	-108 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - carolina-panthers	-355	-110 (-7.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - cleveland-browns	-110	-102 (-1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - jacksonville-jaguars	102	-110 (1.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - las-vegas-raiders	-142	-120 (-3.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - new-york-jets	-130	-110 (-2)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	New York Giants - new-orleans-saints	-110	-118 (1)	-110 (41)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks	-115	-108 (-1)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - buffalo-bills	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - chicago-bears	-230	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - los-angeles-chargers	-265	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 9th 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - cincinnati-bengals	-118	-110 (-1)	-110 (48.5)
Thu Dec 12th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - los-angeles-rams	-270	-108 (-6.5)	-108 (47)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - dallas-cowboys	225	-110 (6.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - kansas-city-chiefs	122	-120 (3)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	New York Giants - baltimore-ravens	225	-108 (6.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - cincinnati-bengals	170	-110 (4.5)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Houston Texans - miami-dolphins	-142	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (49.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - new-york-jets	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - washington-commanders	-148	-110 (-3)	-108 (42)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - new-england-patriots	-180	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Detroit Lions - buffalo-bills	-135	-110 (-2)	-110 (50.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Denver Broncos - indianapolis-colts	120	-110 (2.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-145	-105 (-3)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Philadelphia Eagles - pittsburgh-steelers	-170	-120 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 15th 8pm	Seattle Seahawks - green-bay-packers	-102	-110 (1)	-108 (47)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm	Minnesota Vikings - chicago-bears	-110	-115 (1)	-110 (46)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm	Las Vegas Raiders - atlanta-falcons	-105	-110 (1)	-108 (45.5)
Thu Dec 19th 8pm	Cincinnati Bengals - cleveland-browns	-180	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sat Dec 21st 1pm	Kansas City Chiefs - houston-texans	-205	-108 (-4.5)	-110 (47)
Sat Dec 21st 4pm	Baltimore Ravens - pittsburgh-steelers	-238	-105 (-6)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Carolina Panthers - arizona-cardinals	-102	-110 (1)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - new-york-giants	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Buffalo Bills - new-england-patriots	-395	-110 (-8.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Chicago Bears - detroit-lions	-108	-115 (1)	-108 (47)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - tennessee-titans	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	New York Jets - los-angeles-rams	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Washington Commanders - philadelphia-eagles	175	-110 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - denver-broncos	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (43)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - minnesota-vikings	-125	-110 (-2)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - jacksonville-jaguars	-105	-115 (1)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Miami Dolphins - san-francisco-49ers	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (49)
Sun Dec 22nd 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (46.5)
Mon Dec 23rd 8pm	Green Bay Packers - new-orleans-saints	-218	-110 (-5)	-110 (45)
Wed Dec 25th 4pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - kansas-city-chiefs	235	-108 (4)	-105 (41.5)
Wed Dec 25th 8pm	Houston Texans - baltimore-ravens	108	-110 (1.5)	-108 (46.5)
Thu Dec 26th 8pm	Chicago Bears - seattle-seahawks	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - new-york-jets	-142	-115 (-2.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - carolina-panthers	-205	-108 (-5)	-108 (43)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - green-bay-packers	122	-108 (2)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - tennessee-titans	-192	-108 (-4)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - las-vegas-raiders	-155	-120 (-2.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Washington Commanders - atlanta-falcons	122	-110 (2)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - denver-broncos	-375	-110 (-8)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New York Giants - indianapolis-colts	110	-108 (2)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New England Patriots - los-angeles-chargers	135	100 (2.5)	-110 (41)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - arizona-cardinals	-240	-108 (-6)	-110 (48)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm	Philadelphia Eagles - dallas-cowboys	-135	-110 (-2)	-110 (47)
Sun Dec 29th 8pm	Cleveland Browns - miami-dolphins	-130	-110 (-2)	-110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 30th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - detroit-lions	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (49.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - carolina-panthers	-278	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - cleveland-browns	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	New England Patriots - buffalo-bills	150	-110 (3.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - chicago-bears	-170	-120 (-3)	-110 (46)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - cincinnati-bengals	-102	-110 (1)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Dallas Cowboys - washington-commanders	-230	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Detroit Lions - minnesota-vikings	-245	-115 (-5.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - houston-texans	130	-110 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - jacksonville-jaguars	-130	-110 (-2)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	New York Jets - miami-dolphins	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - new-orleans-saints	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-108 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - new-york-giants	-205	-110 (-5)	-110 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - san-francisco-49ers	164	-108 (4)	-110 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Denver Broncos - kansas-city-chiefs	160	-110 (4)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - los-angeles-chargers	-105	-112 (1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - seattle-seahawks	-225	-108 (-5.5)	-110 (47)

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Pleaser bets are apparently not very popular, as evidenced by the fact that only three Vegas sports book families offer pleaser cards, as follows:

• William Hill — 7-point pleaser
• Stratosphere — 7.5-point pleaser
• MGM — 9-point pleaser

I have never heard of an off the board pleaser bet.

Following is my analysis of each one.

7-Point Pleaser

The 7-point pleaser card is available at William Hill sport books and the Aliante only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 28.65%.

To following table is based on the William Hill pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.

To following table is based on the Aliante pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.

The smart gambler could cut down these house advantages by playing situations where he gives up less than 7 points and/or stays away from giving up key margins of victory. However, the random-picker house edges are so high to begin with that I wouldn't touch this pleaser card, even utilizing everything in my bag of tricks.

7.5-Point Pleaser

The 7.5-point pleaser card is available at the Stratosphere family of sports books only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 6 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 27.38%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 64% to 81%.

As with the 7-point pleaser, we could chip away at these enormous house advantages via gaining extra half points by carefully comparing the spreads on the card against those on the board. By waiting as long as possible, the bettor can take advantage of line movements. Even with no line movements, if the point spread ended in a half to begin with, then the card maker would have to move the point spreads on each side by 7 and 8 points to keep the pleaser spreads ending in one half. The bettor will improve his odds giving up 7 points only, compared to 7.5. However, it is all a losing battle against house advantages starting at 64%.

9-Point Pleaser

The 9-point pleaser card is available at MGM sports book only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 24.17%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 75% to 94%.

A 94% house edge? Are you f#*&ing kidding me! Fair odds for a 8-leg MGM pleaser, for a random picker, would be 85,810, and they are playing 5,000 only. Lottery tickets are an outstanding value compared to this.

For a second, I thought this was the worst casino bet I've ever seen. However, that honor still goes to the Harrah's Las Vegas keno room, where the house edge on their "pick-10 stimulus ticket" is 96.63%.

Summary

Let me make this loud and clear. Pleasers are a sucker bet! If you must bet one, the best odds are on the pick-3 pleaser at William Hill sports books, with a 39% house edge. As mentioned before, you can cut down on the house edge by betting as late as possible to give up as few points as possible, compared to the market lines on the board. Even if you could cut down the house edge in half, it would still be an awful bet.

Forget the pleaser cards. Your odds are a lot better with ordinary parlay cards.

Internal Links

• Parlay Bets in the NFL
• Teaser Bets in the NFL
• Betting the NFL
• Las Vegas Sports Book Groups
• Miscellaneous topics in betting the NFL

External Links

• Las Vegas Sports Betting Survey — What each sports book family pays on parlays and teasers.

Written by: Michael Shackleford